Lam Research Corporation
📈 TradingView Chart
LRCX carries a Buy consensus from 32 analysts with a mean price target of $323.38. The high estimate reaches $425.00 while the low sits at $220.00. Current price ($369.34) trades 14% above the mean target, suggesting analysts see near-term overvaluation.
📊 Technical Snapshot
| Indicator | Signal | Value |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 🟡 Bullish | 63.6 |
| MACD | 🟢 Bullish | +4.134417506782537 |
| Bollinger Bands | 🟡 Neutral | Upper $383.54 / Mid $327.34 / Lower $271.13 |
| SMA (50) | 🟢 Above | $292.31 |
| SMA (200) | 🟢 Above | $207.01 |
| OBV | 🟢 Bullish | 🟢 Uptrend |
| ATR (14) | 🟡 Elevated | 6.4% |
| Volume | 🟡 Neutral | Normal |
📈 Multi-Agent Strategy Signals
| Strategy Signal | Signal | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| 📈 Trend & Momentum | ||
| MA Crossover | 🟡 Neutral | Price vs SMA crossovers — no clear signal. |
| Trend Following | 🟢 Bullish | Higher highs/lows on weekly. |
| Momentum | 🟢 Bullish | RSI, MACD readings — RSI at 64.6. |
| 💰 Valuation & Growth Quality | ||
| P/E Ratio | 🟢 Bullish | Trailing 69.8x / Fwd 46.3x — earnings catching up to price. |
| EPS Growth | 🟢 Bullish | Forward multiple compression narrative intact. |
| Market Position | 🟢 Bullish | ~$461.9B market cap, S&P 500 inclusion catalyst. |
| 📊 Volume & Flow | ||
| OBV Trend | 🟢 Bullish | OBV trending higher, accumulation confirmed. |
| Volume Activity | 🟡 Neutral | Normal volume. |
| Volatility (ATR) | 🔴 Normal | 1.7% daily range — size positions accordingly. |
| 🌐 Market Dynamics | ||
| 52W Position | 🟡 Neutral | 6.0% below 52W high of $393.07. |
| Sector Rel. Strength | 🟢 Bullish | Sector comparison. |
| Macro Sensitivity | 🟡 Neutral | Monitor macro conditions. |
| 🔧 Technical Patterns | ||
| Bollinger Position | 🟡 Neutral | Price inside bands but near upper. |
| MACD Histogram | 🟢 Bullish | +4.13 — momentum accelerating. |
| MA Alignment | 🟢 Bullish | SMA20 > SMA50 > SMA200 — textbook. |
| RSI Regime | 🟡 Neutral | RSI at 64.6, approaching overbought. |
🎲 Game Theory Equilibrium
The multi-agent game model positions LRCX within the ai (compute) sector. The equilibrium score reflects network effects from interconnected ecosystem participants.
| Metric | Solo Score | Equilibrium Score | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 0.588 | 0.779 | +0.191 |
Ecosystem force: 63.7% | Signal: bullish | Confidence: medium
Top Influencers:
| Player | Power | Weight | Contribution | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSM | 0.758 | +0.5 | +0.3790 | us-compute |
| 005930.KS | 0.690 | +0.4 | +0.2760 | memory |
| NVDA | 0.872 | +0.3 | +0.2616 | us-compute |
| AMAT | 0.596 | +0.4 | +0.2384 | fab-tools |
| KLAC | 0.588 | +0.4 | +0.2352 | fab-tools |
Scenario Probabilities
| Scenario | Probability | Trigger |
|---|---|---|
| 🔵 Best Case | 24% | Ecosystem tailwinds accelerate (NVDA scaling, cloud capex surge) — but competitors likely saw it first |
| 🟡 Base Case | 47% | Current equilibrium holds — though our data lags competitors’ |
| 🔴 Worst Case | 29% | Export controls widen or competitor disruption — risk likely understated by public data |
🐋 Smart Money Sentiment / Market Flow
Insider Ownership: 0.28% Institutional Ownership: 88.10% of float Institution Count: 10
Top Institutional Holders
| Holder | Shares | % Out |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock Inc. | 132,852,320 | ~10.6% |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 81,155,744 | ~6.5% |
| State Street Corporation | 59,158,300 | ~4.7% |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 37,060,963 | ~3.0% |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 35,175,926 | ~2.8% |
Top 5 concentration: ~27.6% of outstanding shares
Insider Activity (Last 6 Months)
- 🟢 Purchases: 9 shares (1 txns)
- 🔴 Sales: 685,693 shares (25 txns)
- Net Shares Sold: 685,684 shares (26 txns)
Verdict: Insider activity is mixed — both buying and selling detected.
Recent Notable Transactions | 2026-06-12 00:00:00 | BRANDT ERIC K | 54,500 shares | | 2026-06-11 00:00:00 | BRANDT ERIC K | 54,500 shares | | 2026-06-01 00:00:00 | FERNANDES NEIL J | 7,659 shares | | 2026-05-01 00:00:00 | FERNANDES NEIL J | 18,170 shares | | 2026-04-27 00:00:00 | HARTER AVA | 6,010 shares |
Data source: yfinance SEC filings (13F) for institutional holdings, Form 4 filings for insider transactions.
Options Market (3 Nearest Expirations)
| Expiration | Call OI | Put OI | P/C OI Ratio | Call Vol | Put Vol |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | 88,813 | 121,814 | 1.37 | 61,978 | 6,219 |
| 2026-06-26 | 7,856 | 10,509 | 1.34 | 2,450 | 3,698 |
| 2026-07-02 | 2,803 | 3,624 | 1.29 | 1,127 | 698 |
Data source: yfinance options chains.
Short Interest
- Shares Short: 32,072,543
- Short % of Float: 2.87%
- Days to Cover (Short Ratio): 3.47
- Signal: Low short interest relative to float — limited squeeze potential.
- Month-over-Month: 🔴 Increased 3,516,089 shares (12.3%)
Bid-Ask Spread: 11.90% (🔴 Wide spread)
Data source: yfinance — short interest reported bi-monthly by exchanges.
About Lam Research Corporation
HQ: Fremont, CA | CEO: Mr. Timothy M. Archer | Employees: ~20,600 | Market Cap: ~$461.9B | Revenue: $21.68B
Lam Research Corporation designs, manufactures, markets, refurbishes, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits in the United States, China, Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia, and Europe. The company offers ALTUS systems to deposit conformal or selective films for tungsten or molybdenum metallization applications; SABRE electrochemical deposition products for copper interconnect transition that offers copper damascene manufacturing; SPEED gapfill high-density plasma chemical vapor deposition (CVD) products; Striker single-wafer atomic layer deposition products for dielectric film solutions; and VECTOR plasma-enhanced CVD products. It also provides Flex for dielectric etch applications; Vantex, a dielectric etch system that provides RF technology and repeatable wafer-to-wafer performance enabled by Equipment Intelligence solutions; Kiyo for conductor etch applications; Syndion for through-silicon via etch applications; and Versys metal products for metal etch processes. In addition, the company offers Coronus bevel clean products to enhance die yield; and Da Vinci, DV-Prime, EOS, and SP series products to address various wafer cleaning applications. Further, it provides Reliant deposition, etch, and clean products; and Sense.i platform products, as well as customer service, spares, and upgrades. Lam Research Corporation was incorporated in 1980 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
Products & Services
- Custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) for hyperscale AI
- Ethernet solutions (controllers, adapters, switches, transceivers)
- Interconnect products including PAM4 DSPs, silicon photonics, and CPO chipsets
- Storage controllers (HDD, SSD, NVMe, NVMe over Fabrics)
Highlights
- +24% YoY revenue growth
- Market capitalization of ~$461.9B
- Free cash flow of $4.35B
- Beta of 1.87 (high volatility)
- Dividend yield of 27.00%
Future Growth
- Custom AI ASIC programs with multiple hyperscale partners driving design wins
- 1.6T optical interconnect transition on the horizon
- Expanding data center connectivity portfolio
📊 Market Context
| Market Context | 1W | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ── LRCX Performance ── | |||||
| LRCX | +12.9% | +29.7% | +64.4% | +116.0% | +298.3% |
| SOX | +5.0% | +14.7% | +70.5% | +87.7% | +152.4% |
| ── US Indices ── | |||||
| S&P 500 | +1.7% | +1.4% | +13.4% | +9.7% | +24.5% |
| NASDAQ | +2.7% | +0.6% | +19.1% | +13.5% | +33.9% |
| Dow Jones | +2.2% | +5.0% | +12.5% | +8.2% | +22.3% |
| ── International Semis Markets ── | |||||
| KOSPI (Korea) | +11.8% | +15.0% | +49.9% | +105.1% | +192.9% |
| TAIEX (Taiwan) | +2.5% | +11.3% | +33.4% | +58.2% | +107.8% |
| ── Crypto & Commodities ── | |||||
| Bitcoin | +6.9% | -14.7% | -6.1% | -26.0% | -37.2% |
| Gold | +2.2% | -4.4% | -10.9% | +0.7% | +28.2% |
| WTI Crude | -14.0% | -28.0% | -21.2% | +32.1% | +5.7% |
📰 News Summary
1. What Applied Materials Stock Was Shouting Before The Surge Jun 17, 2026
Before the stock took off, the company’s overall growth looked sluggish, but management was explicitly forecasting a boom in its most important AI-related businesses. Source: Trefis 📎 Read more →
2. Decoding LRCX Stock’s Premium Valuation Jun 16, 2026
At $388.92, Lam Research (LRCX) is being priced to deliver 26.0% revenue growth annually for the next 5 years simply to defend today’s 72.5x multiple. That is essentially the 26.5% the business is already running, held steady through 5 more years. Sounds easy until it stops. Source: Trefis 📎 Read more →
3. Why Lam Research (LRCX) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today Jun 16, 2026
In the latest trading session, Lam Research (LRCX) closed at $369.34, marking a -5.03% move from the previous day. Source: Zacks 📎 Read more →
4. Lam Research (LRCX) Is Betting On Advanced Packaging For 50% Growth In 2026 Jun 16, 2026
Lam Research is highlighting its advanced packaging business as a key growth driver, with the company projecting revenues from this segment to rise more than 50% in 2026. The push is linked to demand for AI chips, high bandwidth memory and chiplet architectures, areas that require more complex pa… Source: Simply Wall St. 📎 Read more →
5. Unusual Put Options Activity in Lam Research Stock Highlights Its Value Jun 16, 2026
Today, there is a high volume of out-of-the-money (OTM) put options activity in Lam Research stock for a longer-dated expiry period. That highlights the underlying value of LRCX stock, which with 27% upside. Source: Barchart 📎 Read more → Key Takeaway: Multi-source coverage highlights the catalysts driving Yahoo, Simply Wall St.
(Sources: Simply Wall St)
📚 Sources
| Source | Data Used |
|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance (LRCX) | Stock price, financials, market cap, volume, bid-ask spread |
| Yahoo Finance Key Statistics | P/E ratios, EPS, short interest, shares outstanding |
| SEC EDGAR | Insider transactions (Form 4), institutional holdings (13F) |
| Yahoo Finance Options | Options chain — open interest, volume, put/call ratios |
| Finviz (LRCX) | Analyst consensus, price targets, technical indicators |
| TradingView (LRCX) | Interactive chart, historical price data |
| DeepSeek LLM | News summarization and multi-agent strategy analysis |
All data is for informational purposes only. Verify independently before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer: The content provided is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or trading advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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